{"id":4489,"date":"2018-07-10T05:34:49","date_gmt":"2018-07-10T02:34:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.oktayvural.com.tr\/?p=4489"},"modified":"2021-06-22T06:43:43","modified_gmt":"2021-06-22T03:43:43","slug":"24-haziran-secim-sonuclarinin-onceki-secimlerle-mukayesesi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/oktayvural.com.tr\/24-haziran-secim-sonuclarinin-onceki-secimlerle-mukayesesi\/","title":{"rendered":"24 Haziran Se\u00e7im Sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n \u00d6nceki Se\u00e7imlerle Mukayesesi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bir \u00f6nceki yaz\u0131mda 24 Haziran se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 hakk\u0131nda teknik bir analiz sunmu\u015ftum. \u015e\u00fcphesiz se\u00e7im sadece o tarihteki sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 itibariye de\u011fil daha \u00f6nceki se\u00e7imlerde al\u0131nan sonu\u00e7larla mukayese edildi\u011finde daha anlaml\u0131 de\u011ferlendirme yapma imkan\u0131 verir. Bu bak\u0131mdan se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n say\u0131sal analizi i\u00e7in \u00f6nceki se\u00e7imlerle mukayesesi de \u00f6nemlidir.<\/p>\n<p>2014 y\u0131l\u0131nda Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan, y\u00fczde 51.79 oy alarak Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 se\u00e7ilmi\u015fti. Bu se\u00e7imlerde adaylardan Ekmeleddin \u0130hsano\u011flu y\u00fczde 38.44, Selahattin Demirta\u015f y\u00fczde 9.76 oran\u0131nda oy alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>24 Haziran se\u00e7imlerinde Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 oy oran\u0131 %52,59 olmu\u015f ve 2014\u2019ten 0,8 puan fazla oy alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. 2014 se\u00e7imlerinde Erdo\u011fan 21.000.871 oy alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. 24 Haziran\u2019da ise ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 oy 26.329.920\u2019dir. CHP ve MHP\u2019nin aday\u0131 Ekmeleddin \u0130hsano\u011flu 15.588.058 oy alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. HDP\u2019nin aday\u0131 Selahattin Demirta\u015f 2014\u2019te 3.958.103, 24 Haziran\u2019da 4.206.130 oy alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Erdo\u011fan d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki adaylar\u0131n 2014\u2019te ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 toplam oy 19.546.161\u2019dir. 24 Haziran\u2019da ise 23.738.498 olmu\u015ftu. Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n oylar\u0131 %25,37, muhalif olanlar\u0131n ise %21,44 artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>7 Haziran ve 1 Kas\u0131m 2015 se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 dikkate al\u0131narak yap\u0131lan say\u0131sal analizde \u015fu sonu\u00e7lara ula\u015f\u0131lmaktad\u0131r. Bu analizde \u0130Y\u0130 Parti daha \u00f6nceki se\u00e7imlerde yer almad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in yoktur.<\/p>\n<p>7 Haziran se\u00e7imlerinde AK Parti %40,87(18.867.411), CHP %24,95(11.518.139), MHP %16,29(7.520.006), HDP %13,12(6.058.489) oy alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. AK Parti 258, CHP 132, MHP 80, HDP 80 milletvekili \u00e7\u0131karm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>1 Kas\u0131m se\u00e7imlerinde AK Parti % 49,5 (23.681.926), CHP %25,32(12.111.812) MHP %11,9 (5.694.136), HDP %10,76(5.148.085) oy alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. AK Parti 317, CHP 134, MHP 40, HDP 59 milletvekili \u00e7\u0131karm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>24 Haziran se\u00e7iminde AK Parti %42,56 (21.338.693),CHP %22,65(11.354.190),MHP MHP %11,1 (5.565.331), HDP %11,7 (5.867.302) oy ald\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Bu sonu\u00e7lara g\u00f6re 24 Haziran 2018 se\u00e7imlerinin 7 Haziran 2015 se\u00e7imleriyle mukayesesi \u015fu sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 vermektedir.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>24 Haziran\u2019da %42,56 (21.338.693) oy alan AK Parti oyunu 7 Haziran\u2019a g\u00f6re 1,69 puan artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131 %4,1\u2019dir.<\/li>\n<li>24 Haziran\u2019da %22,65(11.354.190) olan CHP\u2019nin oyu 7 Haziran\u2019a g\u00f6re 2.3 puan azalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Azal\u0131\u015f oran\u0131 %9,21\u2019dir.<\/li>\n<li>24 Haziran\u2019da %11,1(5.565.331) olan MHP\u2019nin oyu 7 Haziran\u2019a g\u00f6re 5,99 puan azalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Azalma oran\u0131 %31,86\u2019dir.<\/li>\n<li>24 Haziran\u2019da %11,7(5.867.302) \u00a0olan HDP\u2019nin oyu 7 Haziran\u2019a g\u00f6re 1,42 puan azalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Azal\u0131\u015f oran\u0131 %10,82\u2019dir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>24 Haziran 2018 se\u00e7imlerinin 1 Kas\u0131m 2015 se\u00e7imleriyle mukayesesi \u015fu sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 vermektedir:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>AK Parti oylar\u0131 6,85 puan azalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Azalma oran\u0131 %13,83\u2019tir.<\/li>\n<li>CHP oylar\u0131 2,67 puan azalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Azalma oran\u0131 %10,54\u2019dir.<\/li>\n<li>MHP oylar\u0131 0,8 puan azalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Azalma oran\u0131 %6,7\u2019dir.<\/li>\n<li>HDP oylar\u0131 0,71 puan artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Art\u0131\u015f oran\u0131 %6,59\u2019dur.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Say\u0131sal olarak 24 Haziran\u2019da;<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>AK Parti\u2019nin oyu 7 Haziran\u2019a g\u00f6re 2,471,282 artm\u0131\u015f, 1 Kas\u0131m\u2019a g\u00f6re 2.343.235 azalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/li>\n<li>CHP\u2019nin oyu 7 Haziran\u2019a g\u00f6re 163.949 artm\u0131\u015f, 1 Kas\u0131m\u2019a g\u00f6re 757.622 azalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/li>\n<li>MHP\u2019nin oyu 7 Haziran\u2019a g\u00f6re 1.954.675,1 Kas\u0131m\u2019a g\u00f6re 128.805 azalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/li>\n<li>HDP\u2019nin oyu 7 Haziran\u2019a g\u00f6re 191.187 azalm\u0131\u015f, 1 Kas\u0131m\u2019a g\u00f6re 719.217 artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>16 Nisan referandumu ile 24 Haziran se\u00e7imleri aras\u0131ndaki mukayese \u015fu sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 vermektedir:<\/p>\n<p>16 Nisan\u2019da Evet %51,41(25.157.463), Hay\u0131r ise %48,83(23.779.141) olmu\u015ftu. Arada 1.378.322 oy vard\u0131r. Asl\u0131nda 24 Haziran se\u00e7imlerinde de ayn\u0131 bloklar\u0131n yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bu defa da Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 se\u00e7iminde aradaki fark 2.592.939, partiler bak\u0131m\u0131ndan da aradaki fark 3.746.503 olmu\u015ftur.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bir \u00f6nceki yaz\u0131mda 24 Haziran se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 hakk\u0131nda teknik bir analiz sunmu\u015ftum. \u015e\u00fcphesiz se\u00e7im sadece o tarihteki sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 itibariye de\u011fil daha \u00f6nceki se\u00e7imlerde al\u0131nan&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[51],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4489","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-arsiv"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/oktayvural.com.tr\/api\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4489","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/oktayvural.com.tr\/api\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/oktayvural.com.tr\/api\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/oktayvural.com.tr\/api\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/oktayvural.com.tr\/api\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4489"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/oktayvural.com.tr\/api\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4489\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/oktayvural.com.tr\/api\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4489"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/oktayvural.com.tr\/api\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4489"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/oktayvural.com.tr\/api\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4489"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}